Ripple vs SEC: April 3 SEC Meeting Could Skyrocket XRP to $5

XRP holders are anxious because the SEC may be able to provide some clarity in the ongoing case with Ripple at its closed meeting on April 3. The crucial issue is whether the SEC is planning to withdraw its appeal with respect to the Programmatic Sales ruling. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse stated publicly on March 19 that the SEC would step back, yet the SEC has said nothing publicly.

This uncertainty has taken its toll on XRP, which declined by 19% to $2.1088 before increasing by approximately 2.35% on April 1. At the same time, the overall market increased by approximately 2.81%. It appears that XRP will continue to lag other cryptos in the market because of the uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Ripple Vs SEC lawsuit.

Next Move in Ripple Vs SEC Lawsuit: A Turning Point for XRP?

The market is waiting in suspense for Ripple to get a reduced penalty from $150 million to $50 million and to eliminate restrictions on institutional sales. If the SEC finally drops its appeal, this could finally lift a major overhang on XRP. Delays would keep the token stuck in limbo for a longer period if the SEC proceeds to appeal. Legal analysts think it may be another 30 to 60 days before we reach finality, but traders aren’t waiting for that timeline. Each turn in the Ripple Vs SEC case sends ripples (pun intended) through the market, so it is a high-stakes moment for XRP’s price action.

XRP ETF Speculation and Broader Market Pressures

In addition to this, speculation is growing around an XRP ETF, with 18 applications pending approval. If granted approval, XRP could see a considerable value increase, and if there is a delay in the ruling, the price could regain some of its losses. Economic issues like fears of a U.S. recession and trade tensions create unpredictable market conditions. If the anxious period extends in length, XRP could head back down toward $1.79, but if, for example, there was some unexpected news about the ruling or the XRP ETF, XRP could rally substantially toward $3. With so many moving parts, traders are starting to turn to the charts for any sign of the next big price move.

Price Analysis and XRP Price Prediction

The price movements of XRP in the 5-minute chart signal an aggressive uptrend in the early part of the day. After its move up at the beginning of the day, the price broke down away from the resistance level and pulled back into consolidation. The RSI indicator has also synced up with this movement by going back and forth between overbought and oversold zones, reflecting XRP’s nature of being very reactive to short-term momentum shifts. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator has shown frequent Golden Crosses and Death Crosses, emphasizing the ongoing battle between buyers and sellers. 

Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on April 2nd, 2025.

The most recent Golden Cross suggests bullish momentum may be returning, increasing the chances of another resistance test at $2.18. However, failure to sustain upward movement could invite renewed selling pressure, keeping the price range-bound. A decisive breakout above $2.18 could trigger a rally toward higher resistance zones, potentially extending gains if volume supports the move. 

On the downside, if XRP cannot hold above $2.08, then XRP might fall considerably as sellers expect to retest the next primary level of support. The price recently rebounded from support, indicating that buyers are indeed defending the area, furthering its importance. However, whether or not the price continues to consolidate in between the areas suggests decisiveness and will need a clear breakout or breakdown to determine the next significant trend on XRP.

XRP at a Crossroads: Awaiting the SEC’s Next Move

XRP’s price continues to be very reactive to announcements in the Ripple vs. SEC case, including an SEC meeting on April 3, which will likely decide the short-term direction for XRP. The SEC formally withdrawing its appeal, in particular, would be very significant for XRP, removing yet another legal hangover and thus restoring general confidence in investors and opening new upside potential.

Conversely, if the SEC’s meeting generates further delays or if it decides to pursue its appeal, XRP may continue to trade in a prolonged consolidation phase with limited upside potential. Further market speculation around some sort of XRP ETF and other broader market conditions adds extra uncertainty. The XRP price prediction indicates that traders should monitor confirmation from signals like MACD and RSI to ascertain the subsequent course of action.