XRP SEC Lawsuit: Why April 10th Is Ripple’s Make-or-Break Moment

Ripple investors anticipate a volatile week due to regulatory questions and increasing macroeconomic risks. After declining 16.45% last week, XPR price approaches a critical point as the Securities and Exchange Commission prepares for an April 10 closed meeting. The XRP SEC case may soon reach resolution amid rising speculation about a potential withdrawal of the Commission’s appeal. At the same time, new American tariffs and potential global retaliation fuel market uncertainty, adding challenges for risk assets like XRP.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse hinted the SEC might cease its appeal regarding the ruling on XRP programmatic sales. Such a decision would represent a significant regulatory change. Investors watch developments closely because a positive result could create new possibilities, including a potential United States-based XRP spot ETF. However, the Commission’s prolonged silence has made the market anxious. With sentiment already low from macroeconomic concerns, the next Ripple price movement could depend on regulatory clarity and easing economic tensions.

Legal Crossroads: XRP SEC Case Decision Could Shift Market Momentum

The SEC’s upcoming meeting might become a defining moment for Ripple price. Despite withdrawal rumors, the SEC has not confirmed any decision, unlike its rapid dismissal of the Coinbase case. If the Commission actually abandons its appeal, it would indicate the conclusion of a long legal battle. It would also strengthen XRP’s position within the established regulatory framework, potentially improving investor confidence and XRP price significantly.

A final resolution would similarly raise the probability of an XRP spot ETF being approved, possibly encouraging institutional investment. Market analysts say an XRP ETF approval might unlock new capital inflows, supporting a more robust price recovery for this digital currency. Without explicit guidance, however, Ripple remains exposed to legal uncertainty, which may restrict upward price movement in the near term.

Trade War Worries: Macroeconomic Risks Weigh on XRP Price

The reintroduction of U.S. tariffs under Trump’s 10% baseline plan has sparked fears about a wider global trade conflict. With China, the EU, and Japan expected to retaliate, market sentiment has turned risk-averse. Cryptocurrencies, which often follow stock market trends, have also been affected. As risk tolerance falls, Ripple price is among the ones hit hardest.

Chart 1 – Published on TradingView, April 7, 2025.

As seen in chart 1, XRP‘s 22.2% drop on April 7 shows its vulnerability to economic shocks. Trump’s decision to exclude Ripple from the Strategic Crypto Reserve considerations has only added to bearish sentiment. If global tensions escalate, analysts warn of further declines for this cryptocurrency. However, signs of easing trade conflicts or economic relief could support a short-term rebound.

Outlook and Ripple Price Scenarios: Caution Ahead

Ripple’s technical chart remains bearish after its drop to $1.65. The broader crypto market also retreated, losing nearly 7% of its total value. For XRP to recover meaningfully, catalysts such as regulatory resolution or positive ETF developments must emerge. Without them, downside risks may persist.

In an optimistic scenario, a legal win in the Ripple SEC case combined with an XRP ETF approval could push Ripple toward its record high of $3.55. On the other hand, if legal ambiguity persists and global risks worsen, XRP might test key support levels. The events of April 10 will likely be a defining moment that set the tone for Ripple’s short-term direction.

XRP’s Make-or-Break Moment

This week could shape Ripple’s future. The SEC’s decision to end its appeal would provide regulatory clarity and boost confidence in XRP’s long-term prospects. Coupled with potential progress on an XRP ETF approval, it could signal the start of a recovery.

Nevertheless, strong macroeconomic challenges remain. Investors must weigh the SEC meeting’s outcome against global trade risks. Until clarity emerges, Ripple is likely to trade with higher volatility and cautious investor sentiment.