XRP Compared to Silver as Analysts Discuss 2026 Outlook

Market commentators are increasingly comparing XRP’s current setup to silver’s sharp rally in 2025. The discussion gained traction after comments from Vandell Aljarrah. He argued that XRP sits in a similar “psychological blind spot” ahead of 2026. Aljarrah said silver’s recent breakout followed a long period of consolidation and investor disinterest. 

Once that pressure was released, prices moved quickly and caught late participants off guard. He believes XRP shows similar characteristics today. With sentiment divided and many investors dismissing its upside potential. According to him, this environment often precedes asymmetric price moves. These moves tend to happen fast, leaving little time for positioning once momentum starts.

Silver’s 2025 Rally Fuels the Comparison

Silver delivered one of its strongest years on record in 2025. It opened near $28.8 per ounce and surged more than 147% over the year, according to TradingView data. Prices accelerated mid-year. It is climbing from the low $30 range to highs near $84 before easing back. The metal closed the year around $71 and started 2026 with renewed strength. 

Supporters of the XRP comparison point to this slow-to-fast transition as the key similarity. They argue that silver spent months underperforming before demand and macro narratives aligned. However, analysts also stress that silver benefited from tight supply dynamics and industrial demand. These factors differ from crypto markets. Which remain driven by liquidity, sentiment, and regulation.

XRP Price Scenarios Gain Attention

XRP supporters suggest that if the token mirrors silver’s 2025 percentage gain. Its price could rise above $4.70 from recent levels near $1.90. Others extend the comparison further by looking at valuation rather than percentage gains. Some projections compare XRP’s market capitalization to silver’s estimated $4.4 trillion valuation. Based on XRP’s circulating supply. That scenario implies a price above $70 per token. These figures remain theoretical and depend on major structural shifts in adoption and capital flows. 

At the same time, XRP has already shown notable strength. It recently moved above $2. Also, briefly became the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, overtaking BNB. U.S. spot XRP ETFs have also recorded steady inflows, with totals exceeding $1.1 billion since late 2025.

Caution Tempering Optimism

Despite rising enthusiasm, several market participants urge restraint. XRP’s rally has coincided with renewed optimism around Ripple’s regulatory position and escrow management. Yet analysts warn that strong narratives can also attract speculative behavior. Traders note that hype-driven phases often bring increased scam activity and exaggerated claims. They stress that psychological blind spots work both ways. As optimism can blind investors to downside risks.

Meanwhile, Ripple executives, including Brad Garlinghouse, have reiterated long-term confidence without offering short-term price targets. That stance aligns with a broader message across institutional crypto markets. Adoption and clarity matter more than sudden spikes. As 2026 unfolds, the comparison between XRP and silver remains a talking point rather than a forecast. Whether XRP follows a similar path will likely depend on sustained ETF demand. Also, regulatory stability and broader market conditions.