Toncoin Fluctuates between $3.585 and 3.285: Is this a Threat to Upward Spike?

 Let’s explore Toncoin (TON) fluctuation between $3.285 and $3.585 and also examine key support and resistance levels in this detailed price analysis.
If you are intimidated by the recent rise in the price of Toncoin (TON) and are further confused by the price drop, then this analysis is for you. As we go through the price analysis of TON, we will determine the support and resistance levels and possible scenarios for the upcoming trading sessions. Without wasting any further time, let’s dive into the price analysis of TON and analyze the price chart of TON.

Price Analysis of TON from 2nd to 3rd March

On 2nd March at 08:40 UTC, the price broke out from a converging triangle, which had already marked the low for the day at $3.285. The breakout formed a spike and a minor channel. The channel broke out to the upside at 09:30 UTC.

This time, however, the spike was unable to form a channel and instead formed a converging triangle. At 09:30 UTC, RSI moved above the level of 70, which is the overbought area, suggesting that the price is overstretched and a reversal or a correction could follow.

Chart 1: Analysed by vallijat007, published on TradingView, March 3, 2025

The correction formed a converging triangle, which broke out to the downside at 13:25 UTC, forming a spike and channel pattern. At 13:30 UTC, the RSI dropped below the oversold level of 30, suggesting a reversal or correction. At 14:50 UTC, the price broke out from the channel to the upside, confirmed by the golden crossover of MACD, which pushed the price higher. At 15:35 UTC, RSI had already marked the overbought level, indicating a possible reversal or correction. 

At 17:30 UTC, a death cross appeared in MACD, further indicating that the price might drop. The price fell to the level of $3.415 but then broke out to the upside from a downward trendline at 19:00 UTC. The price formed a spike, but instead of forming a channel, it formed a range. This range broke out to the upside at 21:40 UTC. However, this time, the price was unable to form a spike and instead formed a channel, suggesting that the upward breakout was not strong.

Range Breakdown and Potential Price Movement

The price established a range and broke out to the downside at 00:00 UTC on March 3rd. This time, the price showed a spike and a channel pattern. At 01:30 UTC, the RSI fell below 30, the oversold level, indicating a reversal or at least a retreat.

• If the channel breaks to the upside, it may form a range with a resistance level of $3.585, the previous day’s high, or it may break through and continue the trend.
• If the price does not break out to the upside of the channel and instead breaks out to the downside, it may go below $3.285, yesterday’s low.

Concluding Words

The recent rise in the price of Toncoin has confused traders and investors about its future direction. In a longer timescale, the price chart of TON remains in a downtrend, yet this immediate price rise has left traders unsure of their next move. In such a scenario, if the price has to reverse to the upside or form an uptrend, a higher high and higher low market structure is necessary. However, as seen from the above analysis, the price failed to form this structure and instead formed a lower low and lower high structure, suggesting that selling pressure is not over. Traders and investors are advised to take positions wisely.