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Silver Outpaces Gold With Record $79 Rally in 2025

By

Shweta Chakrawarty

Shweta Chakrawarty

Silver surged past $79/oz marking a 170% year-to-date rally that doubled gold's gains due to a fifth year of structural supply deficits.

Silver Outpaces Gold With Record $79 Rally in 2025

Quick Take

Summary is AI generated, newsroom reviewed.

  • Silver hit a record $79.57 per ounce, outpacing gold's 80% gain.

  • The metal's 170% rally is driven by solar and AI industrial demand.

  • A structural deficit of 149 million ounces is straining global inventories.

  • Analysts eye $100 per ounce in 2026 as China tightens export rules.

Silver prices surged past $79 per ounce this week. It is setting a new all-time high and capping one of the strongest commodity rallies of 2025. The move places silver far ahead of gold. Which is also up sharply this year but still trails in percentage terms. The rally marks a major shift in the precious metals market. As silver benefits from both safe-haven demand and rising industrial use.

Silver’s 2025 Rally Leaves Gold Behind

Silver has climbed roughly 170% since the start of the year. In comparison, gold has gained around 80% over the same period. The performance gap has widened steadily since mid-year, as silver broke multiple resistance levels and accelerated into a near-vertical move. After weeks of consolidation between $73 and $76 prices exploded higher in late December. Strong spot demand pushed silver through $79. This triggers fresh momentum buying. 

Trading volumes surged as the breakout unfolded. Which signals a strong conviction behind the move. Market data shows this rally differs from past speculative spikes. Instead, physical demand and supply constraints are doing most of the work. Market watchers also point to a sharp shift versus Bitcoin. Over the past four months silver has gained nearly 190% relative to BTC. A move that took Bitcoin more than a year to achieve during its 2024-2025 rally.

Supply Deficits and Industrial Demand Drive Prices

Silver is now facing its fifth straight annual supply deficit. Industry estimates point to a shortfall of roughly 95 to 149 million ounces this year. Mine supply has struggled to keep pace. While recycling volumes remain limited. At the same time, industrial demand continues to grow. Silver is a key input for solar panels, electric vehicles, electronics, medical devices and AI data centers. 

As clean energy and automation expand, consumption keeps rising. China’s tightening export controls have added further strain. Starting in 2026, silver exports will require government licenses. Since China plays a major role in refining. The move has raised concerns about global availability and higher premiums in physical markets.

Market Reactions and Policy Signals Add Fuel

Comments from high-profile figures have also drawn attention to silver’s role in the global economy. Elon Musk recently warned that silver is essential for many industrial processes. It’s a remark that circulated widely across financial markets. 

Meanwhile, investors continue to seek alternatives. As rate cuts and geopolitical tensions reshape capital flows. Some traders now compare silver’s momentum to earlier commodity super-cycles, while others remain cautious. History shows that silver can move fast in both directions. Past rallies have often ended with sharp pullbacks once speculative demand cools.

Outlook Remains Strong, But Volatility Looms

Analysts say the long term outlook still favors higher prices. If supply deficits persist. Industrial demand is unlikely to slow in the near term. Especially with global investment in energy and technology infrastructure. However, volatility risks remain elevated. Silver’s rapid climb leaves it vulnerable to profit taking and sudden corrections. 

Some bullish forecasts now target $100 or higher. While optimists like Robert Kiyosaki predict even higher levels. Others warn that sharp retracements are common after record highs. Currently, silver’s 2025 surge has firmly placed it at the center of global market attention. Whether the rally extends or pauses, the metal has already reshaped the precious metals landscape this year.

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