Shocking 15% TON Surge: Can It Break the $3.50 Resistance After Durov’s Dubai Return?

Pavel Durov Arrest sparked controversy and uncertainty for Telegram’s future. He now resumes his stay in Dubai while his CEO position led him to stay in France during a lengthy investigation into criminal misconduct on Telegram by French authorities. The August 2024 Pavel Durov arrest in Parris led to preliminary charges against him due to allegations that Telegram allowed drug trafficking along with child sexual abuse material distribution. Throughout the accusations, Durov has held firm to his position that Telegram provides better than legal standards for moderation and supports law enforcement requirements.​

Durov’s Return Sparks Buying Momentum

The French court issued travel authorization to Durov in March 2025 allowing him temporary departure from France under new judicial oversight to rejoin Dubai. Durov displayed his gratitude to both the investigative judges and his legal team for proving Telegram met its legal responsibilities. Throughout this difficult time, he thanked the Telegram community members worldwide for their backing. 

🚨 BREAKING:

Telegram $TON founder Pavel @durov RETURNS to Dubai after months detained in France over cybercrime investigation!

Freedom at last for crypto's most controversial tech leader? pic.twitter.com/ZIgBSqPHby

— CryptoBusy (@CryptoBusy) March 17, 2025

The return of Pavel Durov to his company has created substantial positive effects on Toncoin (TON) which belongs to The Open Network (TON) blockchain platform associated with the Telegram messaging service. After his release was announced Toncoin’s value boosted 15% to reach $3.46 on March 15 while becoming the monthly highest rate of $3.59 the following day. The crypto market values Toncoin at $3.41 after the recent development related to Durov’s return to increased investor faith.​

Technical Analysis Points to Consolidation: TON Price Prediction

The recent Toncoin (TON) price chart reveals significant bullish and bearish movements following Pavel Durov’s return to Dubai. As per the technical analysis, TON displayed strong resistance around the $3.50 mark and tested support near $3.40. The lowest price observed was approximately $3.38, while the top price surged to around $3.65. Indicators such as the RSI suggested overbought conditions near the peak price, while MACD crossovers indicated crucial trend shifts. 

The formation of multiple golden crosses signaled buying momentum, particularly noticeable after TON rebounded from the $3.38 support zone. Conversely, death crosses marked correction phases post the price spike. Investors are closely watching Telegram Crypto News for updates on Pavel Durov’s legal situation and its impact on Toncoin’s price. Investors are closely watching Telegram Crypto News for updates on Pavel Durov’s legal situation and its impact on Toncoin’s price.

Source: Analzyed by baishnabtriparna, Published on TradingView, March 17, 2025

The TON price prediction stages a probable market stabilization period where it might find support at $3.40 while encountering resistance at $3.50. The chances of TON successfully testing the $3.50 resistance increase when its price stays above the $3.40 support level. A successful breakout beyond $3.50 will allow TON to re-annex its past high at $3.65 with the potential for reaching $3.70 during the upcoming periods. The market may initiate a downward correction that reaches $3.35 if TON fails to defend its $3.40 support position. Strong market sentiment toward Telegram’s legal case proceedings has established itself as an influential factor that affects TON’s present and future momentum.

TON’s Outlook Remains Cautiously Bullish

The Pavel Durov Arrest news produces important effects on Toncoin’s (TON) price movement together with broader market attitudes. The latest Telegram Crypto News suggests a positive outlook for Toncoin, with many experts predicting a price surge in the coming weeks. The price jump of Toncoin seems to have resulted from increasing investor trust due to Durov’s legal achievements. The buying momentum from technical indicators carries strong signals although they suggest the possibility of market saturation.

The current price of TON at $3.43 requires market observers to focus on two essential support and resistance points around $3.40 and $3.50. The legal situation involving Telegram has been trending positively which indicates that TON could extend its price growth although any bearish forces could cause market consolidation. Based on present market indicators TON holds a positive trend which will stay stable through moderate variations during this period.