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md:text-4xl lg:text-5xl font-bold text-black dark:text-white leading-normal md:leading-relaxed">Polymarket kjøler seg ned: Første månedlige fall siden august til tross for $23,4 mrd. i volum</h1><div class="mt-6 flex items-center gap-4 flex-wrap"><a href="/no/author/triparna-baishnab-no/"><div class="flex items-center gap-2"><p class="text-black/70 dark:text-white/70">Av</p><img alt="Triparna Baishnab" loading="lazy" width="32" height="32" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="h-8 w-8 rounded-full" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=32&amp;q=75 1x, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75 2x" src="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75"/><p class="text-black/70 dark:text-white/70 font-medium">Triparna Baishnab</p></div></a><time class="text-black/70 dark:text-white/70 flex items-center gap-1 cursor-default" dateTime="2026-03-03T09:32:31.000Z" data-state="closed">March 3rd, 2026</time><time class="text-gray-700 dark:text-gray-400 px-4 py-1 rounded-full border border-[#00000008] dark:border-[#ffffff08] bg-[#00000016] dark:bg-[#ffffff16] flex items-center gap-1 cursor-default" dateTime="2026-03-03T12:12:56.000Z" data-state="closed"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="16" height="16" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-clock text-yellow-500" aria-hidden="true"><path d="M12 6v6l4 2"></path><circle cx="12" cy="12" r="10"></circle></svg>Oppdatert March 3rd, 2026</time></div><p class="text-gray-700 dark:text-gray-400 text-base md:text-lg mt-4">Polymarkets registrerer første månedlige nedgang siden august, men når fortsatt et volum på 23,4 milliarder dollar. Utforsk markedsledere og trender.</p><div class="mt-8 w-full max-w-[750px] mx-auto"><img alt="Polymarket kjøler seg ned: Første månedlige fall siden august til tross for $23,4 mrd. i volum" width="750" height="422" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="w-full h-auto object-cover rounded-xl" style="color:transparent" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, (max-width: 1024px) 750px, 750px" srcSet="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcoinfomania.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2FPrediction-Markets-Cool-Off-%E2%80%94-First-Monthly-Drop-Since-August-Despite-23.4B-Volume.webp&amp;w=640&amp;q=75 640w, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcoinfomania.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2FPrediction-Markets-Cool-Off-%E2%80%94-First-Monthly-Drop-Since-August-Despite-23.4B-Volume.webp&amp;w=750&amp;q=75 750w, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcoinfomania.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2FPrediction-Markets-Cool-Off-%E2%80%94-First-Monthly-Drop-Since-August-Despite-23.4B-Volume.webp&amp;w=828&amp;q=75 828w, 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src="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcoinfomania.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2FPrediction-Markets-Cool-Off-%E2%80%94-First-Monthly-Drop-Since-August-Despite-23.4B-Volume.webp&amp;w=3840&amp;q=75"/></div><div class="mt-6 flex items-center space-x-4"><div class="w-8 h-8 rounded-full bg-gray-300 dark:bg-gray-700 animate-pulse"></div><div class="w-8 h-8 rounded-full bg-gray-300 dark:bg-gray-700 animate-pulse"></div><div class="w-8 h-8 rounded-full bg-gray-300 dark:bg-gray-700 animate-pulse"></div><div class="w-8 h-8 rounded-full bg-gray-300 dark:bg-gray-700 animate-pulse"></div><div class="w-8 h-8 rounded-full bg-gray-300 dark:bg-gray-700 animate-pulse"></div></div><div class="mt-8 rounded-xl p-6 shadow-lg bg-gradient-to-br from-neutral-100 via-white to-neutral-50 dark:from-neutral-800 dark:via-neutral-900 dark:to-black border border-gray-200 dark:border-neutral-800"><div class="flex items-center mb-1"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="24" height="24" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-sparkles w-5 h-5 text-yellow-500 dark:text-yellow-400 me-2" aria-hidden="true"><path d="M11.017 2.814a1 1 0 0 1 1.966 0l1.051 5.558a2 2 0 0 0 1.594 1.594l5.558 1.051a1 1 0 0 1 0 1.966l-5.558 1.051a2 2 0 0 0-1.594 1.594l-1.051 5.558a1 1 0 0 1-1.966 0l-1.051-5.558a2 2 0 0 0-1.594-1.594l-5.558-1.051a1 1 0 0 1 0-1.966l5.558-1.051a2 2 0 0 0 1.594-1.594z"></path><path d="M20 2v4"></path><path d="M22 4h-4"></path><circle cx="4" cy="20" r="2"></circle></svg><h3 id="quick-take-heading" class="text-lg font-semibold text-gray-800 dark:text-white">Hurtig sammendrag</h3></div><p class="text-sm text-gray-600 dark:text-gray-400 mb-4">Sammendrag er AI-generert, gjennomgått av redaksjonen.</p><ul class="space-y-3" aria-labelledby="quick-take-heading"><li class="flex items-start"><span class="w-1.5 h-1.5 bg-yellow-500 dark:bg-yellow-400 rounded-full inline-block me-2.5 mt-[7px] flex-shrink-0"></span><p class="text-gray-800 dark:text-gray-300 leading-relaxed">Prognoser om markedets første månedlige fall siden august</p></li><li class="flex items-start"><span class="w-1.5 h-1.5 bg-yellow-500 dark:bg-yellow-400 rounded-full inline-block me-2.5 mt-[7px] flex-shrink-0"></span><p class="text-gray-800 dark:text-gray-300 leading-relaxed">Februarvolumet nådde fortsatt 23,4 milliarder dollar</p></li><li class="flex items-start"><span class="w-1.5 h-1.5 bg-yellow-500 dark:bg-yellow-400 rounded-full inline-block me-2.5 mt-[7px] flex-shrink-0"></span><p class="text-gray-800 dark:text-gray-300 leading-relaxed">Kalshi ledet med et volum på 9,8 milliarder dollar</p></li><li class="flex items-start"><span class="w-1.5 h-1.5 bg-yellow-500 dark:bg-yellow-400 rounded-full inline-block me-2.5 mt-[7px] flex-shrink-0"></span><p class="text-gray-800 dark:text-gray-300 leading-relaxed">Polymarket holdt seg stabilt på 7,6 milliarder dollar</p></li></ul></div><div class="mt-8 flex justify-center"></div></div></div></div><div class="my-8"><div class="flex gap-6 justify-between mt-6 flex-col md:flex-row"><div class="max-w-[922px]"><div class="html-container"><p class="wp-block-paragraph">Statistikk viser at prediksjonsmarkedene registrerte sin første nedgangsmåned siden august 2025. Samlet volum endte på 23,4 milliarder i februar 2026. Selv om det er en nedgang, indikerer tallet fortsatt høy aktivitet. Etter flere måneder med kraftig vekst var en avmatning ventet. Markeder beveger seg sjelden i en rett linje. Denne korreksjonen fremstår derfor som konsolidering snarere enn kollaps.</p><div class="jsx-3698e059f21e2b50 w-full flex justify-center my-6"><div id="wrapper-sevio-in-article" class="" style="display:inline-block"><div class="sevioads" data-zone="91b27edc-5a48-48e6-a065-848b34d2ca64"></div></div></div><blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p>Prediction markets just posted their first down month since August.<br/><br/>Still did $23.4B in Feb.<br/><br/>• <a href="https://twitter.com/Kalshi?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer">@Kalshi</a>: $9.8B (↑ from $8.9B), now clearly leading<br/>• <a href="https://twitter.com/Polymarket?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer">@Polymarket</a>: $7.6B (flat/down MoM)<br/>• <a href="https://twitter.com/opinionlabsxyz?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer">@opinionlabsxyz</a>: $3.1B (sharp cooldown from $8.1B) <a href="https://t.co/9LDVrrVW5E" rel="noopener noreferrer">pic.twitter.com/9LDVrrVW5E</a></p>— crypto.news (@cryptodotnews) <a href="https://twitter.com/cryptodotnews/status/2028757715875684696?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer">March 3, 2026</a></blockquote><p class="wp-block-paragraph">I februar befestet Kalshi posisjonen som klar markedsleder. Handelsvolumet på plattformen nådde 9,8 milliarder. Det er en solid økning fra januar, da volumet var 8,9 milliarder. Veksten har gitt Kalshi en dominerende posisjon i bransjen. Plattformen er fortsatt populær blant både institusjonelle og private aktører. Den regulatoriske forankringen i USA gir også økt troverdighet. Det gir et konkurransefortrinn.</p><h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-polymarket-holder-stand">Polymarket holder stand</h2><p class="wp-block-paragraph">Utviklingen for Polymarket var annerledes. Plattformen omsatte for 7,6 milliarder. Likevel viste tallene flat eller svakt negativ månedlig vekst. Det tyder på at momentumet har avtatt. Aktiviteten har stabilisert seg etter sterk ekspansjon de siste månedene.</p><p class="wp-block-paragraph">Opinion Labs opplevde den største endringen. Volumet falt til 3,1 milliarder fra 8,1 milliarder. Det representerer en markant nedkjøling. En slik nedgang kan indikere lavere brukeraktivitet. Den kan også reflektere at tidligere vekst var strukket langt. Økt oppmerksomhet rundt rapporterte tall kan dessuten ha påvirket deltakelsen. I et konkurransepreget marked faller svakere aktører raskt bak.</p><h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-markedsstrukturen-endrer-seg-raskt">Markedsstrukturen endrer seg raskt</h2><p class="wp-block-paragraph">Bransjen viser tegn til konsentrasjon. Kalshi og Polymarket står for en betydelig andel av volumet. Det skaper en struktur som nærmer seg et duopol. Mindre plattformer sliter med å opprettholde vekst. Samtidig fremstår markedet samlet sett robust. Månedlige volumer ligger fortsatt på titalls milliarder. Det peker mot vedvarende etterspørsel etter hendelsesbasert handel.</p><h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-fremtiden-for-prediksjonsmarkeder">Fremtiden for prediksjonsmarkeder</h2><p class="wp-block-paragraph">Avmatningen endrer ikke den overordnede trenden på kort sikt. Prediksjonsmarkeder vokser frem som en ny aktivaklasse. De kombinerer finans, data og virkelige hendelser. Veksten kan imidlertid bli mer selektiv fremover. Langsiktig verdi vil tilfalle de mest solide plattformene. Regulering, likviditet og brukertillit blir avgjørende faktorer. Fallet i februar kan derfor være en markedsmessig nullstilling. Det markerer en overgang til en mer moden fase. Polymarket forblir likevel en sentral aktør. Plattformens kryptonative design fortsetter å tiltrekke brukere globalt.</p><p class="wp-block-paragraph">Prediksjonsmarkedene står ved et veiskille – ikke i krise. Volumene er fortsatt høye til tross for den første månedlige nedgangen på lenge. Lederne styrker posisjonene sine. Samtidig øker presset på mindre aktører. Bransjen går inn i en mer moden fase. Veksten fortsetter, men konkurransen hardner til.</p></div><div class="mt-8 pt-6 border-t border-gray-200/80 dark:border-gray-700/80"><h3 class="text-lg font-semibold mb-4 text-gray-800 dark:text-gray-300 flex items-center gap-2"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="18" height="18" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-link text-gray-500 dark:text-gray-400" aria-hidden="true"><path d="M10 13a5 5 0 0 0 7.54.54l3-3a5 5 0 0 0-7.07-7.07l-1.72 1.71"></path><path d="M14 11a5 5 0 0 0-7.54-.54l-3 3a5 5 0 0 0 7.07 7.07l1.71-1.71"></path></svg>Referanser</h3><ul class="list-none ps-0 space-y-2.5"><li class="text-sm text-gray-600 dark:text-gray-400 leading-relaxed"><a href="https://x.com/cryptodotnews/status/2028757715875684696" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="text-gray-700 dark:text-gray-300 hover:text-blue-600 dark:hover:text-blue-400 transition-colors duration-200 ease-in-out border-b border-dotted border-gray-400 dark:border-gray-600 hover:border-solid hover:border-blue-500 dark:hover:border-blue-400 pb-0.5" title="Source: https://x.com/cryptodotnews/status/2028757715875684696">X Ref</a></li></ul></div><div class="mt-10 pt-8 border-t border-gray-200/80 dark:border-gray-700/80"><div class="bg-gray-50 dark:bg-neutral-900 rounded-xl p-4 md:p-6 border border-gray-200 dark:border-neutral-800 shadow-sm hover:shadow-md transition-shadow duration-300"><div class="space-y-4 md:grid md:grid-cols-[auto_1fr] md:gap-x-4 md:gap-y-3 md:items-center md:space-y-0 text-sm"><div class="font-medium text-gray-500 dark:text-gray-400  md:col-start-1">Skrevet av:</div><div class="md:col-start-2"><div class="flex items-center space-x-2"><img alt="Triparna Baishnab" loading="lazy" width="24" height="24" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="rounded-full flex-shrink-0" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=32&amp;q=75 1x, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=48&amp;q=75 2x" src="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=48&amp;q=75"/><div class="flex items-center space-x-1.5 flex-wrap"><a class="font-semibold hover:underline text-gray-800 dark:text-gray-200 leading-tight" href="/no/author/triparna-baishnab-no/">Triparna Baishnab</a><div class="flex gap-1.5 items-center"></div></div></div></div><div class="font-medium text-gray-500 dark:text-gray-400 mt-2 md:mt-0 md:col-start-1">Gjennomgang og faktasjekk av:</div><div class="md:col-start-2"><div class="flex items-center space-x-2"><img alt="Shivani Ramrakhyani" loading="lazy" width="24" height="24" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="rounded-full flex-shrink-0" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F104a754d41e24c6493ed8ea8bc5aa3220b792fada7d96876b68a5a17c7fd9134%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=32&amp;q=75 1x, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F104a754d41e24c6493ed8ea8bc5aa3220b792fada7d96876b68a5a17c7fd9134%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=48&amp;q=75 2x" src="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F104a754d41e24c6493ed8ea8bc5aa3220b792fada7d96876b68a5a17c7fd9134%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=48&amp;q=75"/><div class="flex items-center space-x-1.5 flex-wrap"><a class="font-semibold hover:underline text-gray-800 dark:text-gray-200 leading-tight" href="/no/author/shivanir/">Shivani Ramrakhyani</a><div class="flex gap-1.5 items-center"></div></div></div></div></div><div class="mt-5 pt-4 border-t border-gray-200/60 dark:border-neutral-800/60 text-sm text-gray-600 dark:text-gray-400"><a class="hover:underline text-gray-600 dark:text-gray-400 hover:text-blue-700 dark:hover:text-blue-400 transition-colors duration-150" href="/no/editorial-policy/">Les mer om våre redaksjonelle retningslinjer og standarder her.</a></div></div></div><div class="mt-5"><div class="p-4 bg-white dark:bg-neutral-900 rounded-xl shadow-lg border border-gray-200 dark:border-neutral-700 animate-pulse"><div class="flex items-center justify-between"><div class="flex items-center space-x-3"><div class="w-10 h-10 bg-gray-200 dark:bg-neutral-700 rounded-full"></div><div class="h-4 bg-gray-200 dark:bg-neutral-700 rounded w-40"></div></div><div class="h-8 w-20 bg-gray-200 dark:bg-neutral-700 rounded"></div></div></div></div><div class="mt-5"><div class="bg-white dark:bg-neutral-900 p-4 rounded-xl shadow-lg border border-gray-200 dark:border-neutral-700 transition duration-300 flex items-center justify-between"><div class="flex items-center space-x-4"><div class="flex-shrink-0 p-1 rounded-md"><img alt="Google News Icon" loading="lazy" width="40" height="40" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="rounded" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image/?url=%2F_next%2Fstatic%2Fmedia%2Fgoogle-news-icon.6310c171.webp&amp;w=48&amp;q=75 1x, /_next/image/?url=%2F_next%2Fstatic%2Fmedia%2Fgoogle-news-icon.6310c171.webp&amp;w=96&amp;q=75 2x" src="/_next/image/?url=%2F_next%2Fstatic%2Fmedia%2Fgoogle-news-icon.6310c171.webp&amp;w=96&amp;q=75"/></div><div><h3 class="text-base font-semibold text-gray-800 dark:text-gray-200">Følg oss på<!-- --> <span class="font-bold"><span style="color:#4285F4">G</span><span style="color:#EA4335">o</span><span style="color:#FBBC05">o</span><span style="color:#4285F4">g</span><span style="color:#34A853">l</span><span style="color:#EA4335">e</span> News</span></h3><p class="text-sm text-gray-500 dark:text-gray-400 mt-0.5">Få de siste krypto-innsiktene og oppdateringene.</p></div></div><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" class="ms-4 flex-shrink-0 px-4 py-2 text-sm font-semibold text-white bg-blue-600 rounded-md hover:bg-blue-700 shadow-md transition hover:scale-105" href="https://news.google.com/publications/CAAqKggKIiRDQklTRlFnTWFoRUtEMk52YVc1bWIyMWhibWxoTG1OdmJTZ0FQAQ">Følg</a></div></div><div class="border-t border-neutral-300 dark:border-neutral-800 mt-10 pt-10"><h2 class="text-2xl font-bold">Relaterte innlegg</h2><div class="grid grid-cols-1 sm:grid-cols-2 lg:grid-cols-3 gap-4 mt-6"><a class="group relative overflow-hidden rounded-xl bg-gradient-to-t dark:bg-gradient-to-b from-gray-100 to-gray-250 dark:from-neutral-900 dark:to-neutral-950 transition-all hover:scale-[1.02]" href="/no/hvorfor-taiwan-ser-pa-bitcoin-for-a-beskytte-602-milliarder-dollar/"><div class="relative h-48 overflow-hidden"><img alt="Hvorfor Taiwan ser på Bitcoin for å beskytte 602 milliarder dollar?" loading="lazy" width="600" height="192" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="object-cover transition-transform group-hover:scale-105" style="color:transparent" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, (max-width: 1024px) 50vw, 384px" srcSet="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcoinfomania.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2FWhy-Taiwan-Is-Looking-At-Bitcoin-To-Protect-602-Billion--768x432.webp&amp;w=384&amp;q=75 384w, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcoinfomania.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2FWhy-Taiwan-Is-Looking-At-Bitcoin-To-Protect-602-Billion--768x432.webp&amp;w=640&amp;q=75 640w, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcoinfomania.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2FWhy-Taiwan-Is-Looking-At-Bitcoin-To-Protect-602-Billion--768x432.webp&amp;w=750&amp;q=75 750w, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcoinfomania.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2FWhy-Taiwan-Is-Looking-At-Bitcoin-To-Protect-602-Billion--768x432.webp&amp;w=828&amp;q=75 828w, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcoinfomania.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2FWhy-Taiwan-Is-Looking-At-Bitcoin-To-Protect-602-Billion--768x432.webp&amp;w=1080&amp;q=75 1080w, 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xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="16" height="16" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-star" aria-hidden="true"><path d="M11.525 2.295a.53.53 0 0 1 .95 0l2.31 4.679a2.123 2.123 0 0 0 1.595 1.16l5.166.756a.53.53 0 0 1 .294.904l-3.736 3.638a2.123 2.123 0 0 0-.611 1.878l.882 5.14a.53.53 0 0 1-.771.56l-4.618-2.428a2.122 2.122 0 0 0-1.973 0L6.396 21.01a.53.53 0 0 1-.77-.56l.881-5.139a2.122 2.122 0 0 0-.611-1.879L2.16 9.795a.53.53 0 0 1 .294-.906l5.165-.755a2.122 2.122 0 0 0 1.597-1.16z"></path></svg>Nyheter</div></div><div class="p-4"><div class="flex items-center gap-2 text-sm text-neutral-700 dark:text-neutral-400 justify-between"><time class="font-cairo">16 June 2026</time><span class="flex items-center gap-1"><svg width="9" height="8" viewBox="0 0 9 8" fill="none" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><circle cx="4.33334" cy="4" r="4" fill="#FAC30A"></circle></svg><span class="font-cairo">4 Min<!-- --> read</span></span></div><h3 class="mt-2 text-lg font-semibold text-black dark:text-white group-hover:text-yellow-500 line-clamp-2">Hvorfor Taiwan ser på Bitcoin for å beskytte 602 milliarder dollar?</h3><div class="mt-4 flex items-center gap-3"><img alt="Vandit Grover" loading="lazy" width="32" height="32" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="rounded-full" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F6dd5db4fa3b5f0904e91a099ce384b4db26a13c3088170cc8c5174474635289e%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=32&amp;q=75 1x, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F6dd5db4fa3b5f0904e91a099ce384b4db26a13c3088170cc8c5174474635289e%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75 2x" src="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F6dd5db4fa3b5f0904e91a099ce384b4db26a13c3088170cc8c5174474635289e%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75"/><div><p class="text-sm font-medium text-black dark:text-white">Vandit Grover</p><p class="text-sm text-neutral-400">Author</p></div></div></div></a><a class="group relative overflow-hidden rounded-xl bg-gradient-to-t dark:bg-gradient-to-b from-gray-100 to-gray-250 dark:from-neutral-900 dark:to-neutral-950 transition-all hover:scale-[1.02]" href="/no/pi-network-oppgraderer-launchpad-for-pi2day-med-ny-slice-test/"><div class="relative h-48 overflow-hidden"><img alt="Pi Network Oppgraderer Launchpad Før Pi2Day Med Ny SLICE Test" loading="lazy" width="600" height="192" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="object-cover transition-transform group-hover:scale-105" style="color:transparent" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, (max-width: 1024px) 50vw, 384px" srcSet="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcoinfomania.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2FPi-Network-Upgrades-Launchpad-Ahead-of-Pi2Day-With-New-SLICE-Test.webp&amp;w=384&amp;q=75 384w, 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line-clamp-2">Pi Network Oppgraderer Launchpad Før Pi2Day Med Ny SLICE Test</h3><div class="mt-4 flex items-center gap-3"><img alt="Shweta Chakrawarty" loading="lazy" width="32" height="32" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="rounded-full" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F9e002b0413eb69c0ec6b6245ec27557562d607a4bb636750e688392998e75326%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=32&amp;q=75 1x, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F9e002b0413eb69c0ec6b6245ec27557562d607a4bb636750e688392998e75326%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75 2x" src="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F9e002b0413eb69c0ec6b6245ec27557562d607a4bb636750e688392998e75326%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75"/><div><p class="text-sm font-medium text-black dark:text-white">Shweta Chakrawarty</p><p class="text-sm text-neutral-400">Author</p></div></div></div></a><a class="group relative overflow-hidden rounded-xl 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srcSet="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F6dd5db4fa3b5f0904e91a099ce384b4db26a13c3088170cc8c5174474635289e%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=32&amp;q=75 1x, /_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F6dd5db4fa3b5f0904e91a099ce384b4db26a13c3088170cc8c5174474635289e%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75 2x" src="/_next/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsecure.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2F6dd5db4fa3b5f0904e91a099ce384b4db26a13c3088170cc8c5174474635289e%3Fs%3D96%26r%3Dg&amp;w=64&amp;q=75"/><div><p class="text-sm font-medium text-black dark:text-white">Vandit Grover</p><p class="text-sm text-neutral-400">Author</p></div></div></div></a></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="h-20 w-full flex items-center justify-center"></div></div></main><aside class="hidden lg:block w-80 flex-shrink-0 order-3 mt-32"><div class="sticky top-[140px] space-y-6"></div></aside></div></div></main></div><div class="h-20 bg-gray-100 dark:bg-gray-900 animate-pulse"></div></div></div><script id="__NEXT_DATA__" type="application/json">{"props":{"pageProps":{"post":{"id":681741,"type":"post","_embedded":{"wp:featuredmedia":[{"media_details":{"sizes":{"full":{"source_url":"https://coinfomania.com/wp-content/uploads/Prediction-Markets-Cool-Off-—-First-Monthly-Drop-Since-August-Despite-23.4B-Volume.webp"},"medium_large":{"source_url":"https://coinfomania.com/wp-content/uploads/Prediction-Markets-Cool-Off-—-First-Monthly-Drop-Since-August-Despite-23.4B-Volume-768x432.webp"}},"source_url":"https://coinfomania.com/wp-content/uploads/Prediction-Markets-Cool-Off-—-First-Monthly-Drop-Since-August-Despite-23.4B-Volume.webp"}}],"wp:term":[{"id":8310,"name":"Nyheter","slug":"nyheter"}]},"tag":{"id":8647,"name":"Bitcoin","slug":"btc"},"postCategoriesList":{"id":8310,"name":"Nyheter","slug":"nyheter"},"title":{"rendered":"Polymarket kjøler seg ned: Første månedlige fall siden august til tross for $23,4 mrd. i volum"},"slug":"polymarket-kjoler-seg-ned-forste-manedlige-fall-siden-august-til-tross-for-234-mrd-i-volum","readTime":"2 Min","date":"2026-03-03 15:02:31","date_gmt":"2026-03-03 09:32:31Z","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03 12:12:56Z","authors":[{"user_id":8586,"slug":"triparna-baishnab-no","avatar_url":"https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/?s=96\u0026r=g","display_name":"Triparna Baishnab","description":"","job_title":"Author","twitter":"","instagram":"","linkedin":"","facebook":""}],"category":"Nyheter","excerpt":null,"content":{"rendered":"\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"\u003eStatistikk viser at prediksjonsmarkedene registrerte sin første nedgangsmåned siden august 2025. Samlet volum endte på 23,4 milliarder i februar 2026. Selv om det er en nedgang, indikerer tallet fortsatt høy aktivitet. Etter flere måneder med kraftig vekst var en avmatning ventet. Markeder beveger seg sjelden i en rett linje. Denne korreksjonen fremstår derfor som konsolidering snarere enn kollaps.\u003cblockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"\u003e\u003cp\u003ePrediction markets just posted their first down month since August.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003eStill did $23.4B in Feb.\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e• \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/Kalshi?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"\u003e@Kalshi\u003c/a\u003e: $9.8B (↑ from $8.9B), now clearly leading\u003cbr\u003e• \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/Polymarket?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"\u003e@Polymarket\u003c/a\u003e: $7.6B (flat/down MoM)\u003cbr\u003e• \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/opinionlabsxyz?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"\u003e@opinionlabsxyz\u003c/a\u003e: $3.1B (sharp cooldown from $8.1B) \u003ca href=\"https://t.co/9LDVrrVW5E\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"\u003epic.twitter.com/9LDVrrVW5E\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/p\u003e— crypto.news (@cryptodotnews) \u003ca href=\"https://twitter.com/cryptodotnews/status/2028757715875684696?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"\u003eMarch 3, 2026\u003c/a\u003e\u003c/blockquote\u003e\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"\u003eI februar befestet Kalshi posisjonen som klar markedsleder. Handelsvolumet på plattformen nådde 9,8 milliarder. Det er en solid økning fra januar, da volumet var 8,9 milliarder. Veksten har gitt Kalshi en dominerende posisjon i bransjen. Plattformen er fortsatt populær blant både institusjonelle og private aktører. Den regulatoriske forankringen i USA gir også økt troverdighet. Det gir et konkurransefortrinn.\u003ch2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-polymarket-holder-stand\"\u003ePolymarket holder stand\u003c/h2\u003e\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"\u003eUtviklingen for Polymarket var annerledes. Plattformen omsatte for 7,6 milliarder. Likevel viste tallene flat eller svakt negativ månedlig vekst. Det tyder på at momentumet har avtatt. Aktiviteten har stabilisert seg etter sterk ekspansjon de siste månedene.\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"\u003eOpinion Labs opplevde den største endringen. Volumet falt til 3,1 milliarder fra 8,1 milliarder. Det representerer en markant nedkjøling. En slik nedgang kan indikere lavere brukeraktivitet. Den kan også reflektere at tidligere vekst var strukket langt. Økt oppmerksomhet rundt rapporterte tall kan dessuten ha påvirket deltakelsen. I et konkurransepreget marked faller svakere aktører raskt bak.\u003ch2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-markedsstrukturen-endrer-seg-raskt\"\u003eMarkedsstrukturen endrer seg raskt\u003c/h2\u003e\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"\u003eBransjen viser tegn til konsentrasjon. Kalshi og Polymarket står for en betydelig andel av volumet. Det skaper en struktur som nærmer seg et duopol. Mindre plattformer sliter med å opprettholde vekst. Samtidig fremstår markedet samlet sett robust. Månedlige volumer ligger fortsatt på titalls milliarder. Det peker mot vedvarende etterspørsel etter hendelsesbasert handel.\u003ch2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-fremtiden-for-prediksjonsmarkeder\"\u003eFremtiden for prediksjonsmarkeder\u003c/h2\u003e\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"\u003eAvmatningen endrer ikke den overordnede trenden på kort sikt. Prediksjonsmarkeder vokser frem som en ny aktivaklasse. De kombinerer finans, data og virkelige hendelser. Veksten kan imidlertid bli mer selektiv fremover. Langsiktig verdi vil tilfalle de mest solide plattformene. Regulering, likviditet og brukertillit blir avgjørende faktorer. Fallet i februar kan derfor være en markedsmessig nullstilling. Det markerer en overgang til en mer moden fase. Polymarket forblir likevel en sentral aktør. Plattformens kryptonative design fortsetter å tiltrekke brukere globalt.\u003cp class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"\u003ePrediksjonsmarkedene står ved et veiskille – ikke i krise. Volumene er fortsatt høye til tross for den første månedlige nedgangen på lenge. Lederne styrker posisjonene sine. Samtidig øker presset på mindre aktører. Bransjen går inn i en mer moden fase. Veksten fortsetter, men konkurransen hardner til."},"quick_take_points":[{"point":"Prognoser om markedets første månedlige fall siden august"},{"point":"Februarvolumet nådde fortsatt 23,4 milliarder dollar"},{"point":"Kalshi ledet med et volum på 9,8 milliarder dollar"},{"point":"Polymarket holdt seg stabilt på 7,6 milliarder dollar"}],"edited_by":{"user_id":73,"slug":"shivanir","avatar_url":"https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/104a754d41e24c6493ed8ea8bc5aa3220b792fada7d96876b68a5a17c7fd9134?s=96\u0026r=g","display_name":"Shivani Ramrakhyani","description":"With over ten years of writing experience, Shivani brings a passion for storytelling to a wide range of topics, from finance and crypto to tech, movies, DIY projects, healthcare, science, and children's development. She loves taking complex ideas and making them relatable, ensuring her readers not only understand but also enjoy what they read. Whether she’s breaking down the latest tech trends or sharing tips for nurturing young minds, Shivani’s engaging style makes her a trusted voice in her fields.","job_title":"Author","twitter":"","instagram":"","linkedin":"","facebook":""},"yoast_head_json":{"title":"Polymarket kjøler seg ned: Første månedlige fall siden august til tross for $23,4 mrd. i volum","description":"Polymarkets registrerer første månedlige nedgang siden august, men når fortsatt et volum på 23,4 milliarder dollar. Utforsk markedsledere og trender.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https://coinfomania.com/no/polymarket-kjoler-seg-ned-forste-manedlige-fall-siden-august-til-tross-for-234-mrd-i-volum/","og_locale":"nb_NO","og_type":"article","og_title":"Polymarket kjøler seg ned: Første månedlige fall siden august til tross for $23,4 mrd. i volum","og_description":"Polymarkets registrerer første månedlige nedgang siden august, men når fortsatt et volum på 23,4 milliarder dollar. Utforsk markedsledere og trender.","og_url":"https://coinfomania.com/no/polymarket-kjoler-seg-ned-forste-manedlige-fall-siden-august-til-tross-for-234-mrd-i-volum/","og_site_name":"Coinfomania","article_publisher":"https://web.facebook.com/Coinfomania/","article_published_time":"2026-03-03T09:32:31+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-03-03T12:12:56+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1920,"height":1080,"url":"https://coinfomania.com/wp-content/uploads/Prediction-Markets-Cool-Off-—-First-Monthly-Drop-Since-August-Despite-23.4B-Volume.webp","type":"image/webp"}],"author":"Rajeev Rajput","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@coinfomania","twitter_site":"@coinfomania","schema":{"@context":"https://schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://coinfomania.com/no/polymarket-kjoler-seg-ned-forste-manedlige-fall-siden-august-til-tross-for-234-mrd-i-volum/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https://coinfomania.com/no/polymarket-kjoler-seg-ned-forste-manedlige-fall-siden-august-til-tross-for-234-mrd-i-volum/"},"author":{"@type":"Person","name":"Rajeev Rajput","@id":"https://coinfomania.com/no/author/rajeev/#person"},"headline":"Polymarket kjøler seg ned: Første månedlige fall siden august til tross for $23,4 mrd. i volum","datePublished":"2026-03-03T09:32:31+00:00","dateModified":"2026-03-03T12:12:56+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https://coinfomania.com/no/polymarket-kjoler-seg-ned-forste-manedlige-fall-siden-august-til-tross-for-234-mrd-i-volum/"},"wordCount":471,"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Coinfomania","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://coinfomania.com/wp-content/uploads/logo.webp"},"@id":"https://coinfomania.com/no/#organization"},"image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://coinfomania.com/wp-content/uploads/Prediction-Markets-Cool-Off-—-First-Monthly-Drop-Since-August-Despite-23.4B-Volume.webp"},"thumbnailUrl":"https://coinfomania.com/wp-content/uploads/Prediction-Markets-Cool-Off-—-First-Monthly-Drop-Since-August-Despite-23.4B-Volume.webp","articleSection":["Nyheter"],"inLanguage":"nb-NO","description":"Statistikk viser at prediksjonsmarkedene registrerte sin første nedgangsmåned siden august 2025. 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