Bitcoin Whale Activity Spikes 132%— Is this the Right  Time to Buy Before $100K?

Bitcoin’s largest holders, whales controlling 10+ BTC ($821K+), have surged by 132 wallets overnight, marking the steepest growth since February. This abrupt reversal follows President Trump’s tariff pause announcement, which eased market fears. While Santiment interprets this as renewed institutional confidence, skeptics question whether it reflects genuine accumulation or short-term positioning. With BTC’s price rebounding, will Bitcoin whale momentum catalyze a sustained rally, or is this another speculative blip?

Sustainable Rally or Political Sugar High?

The 10+ BTC cohort had been declining for weeks before this week’s 132-wallet spike. Historically, such rapid whale accumulation precedes bullish phases, as seen in February’s rally. These investors likely capitalized on the tariff-induced dip, viewing it as a buying opportunity. Their re-entry suggests long-term conviction, but the timing, aligned with political news, raises questions about sustainability versus reactive trading.

Trump’s tariff pause may have temporarily eased institutional FUD, but Bitcoin’s fate still hinges on broader economic trends. Bitcoin Whale activity alone cannot override macro pressures like inflation or Fed policy. Notably, this surge hasn’t yet translated to equivalent price momentum, with BTC struggling to reclaim key resistance levels. For a true bull run, retail participation must complement whale accumulation, a dynamic absent in recent weeks. Let’s take a look at Bitcoin price prediction to see how these developments impact the price of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Price Prediction for April 12, 2025

The BTC/USDT 15-minute chart reflects consolidation just below the resistance zone around $83,800–$84,200, with support levels at $79,000 and $75,000. The current Bitcoin price is $83,085, showing hesitation near the resistance, indicating potential for either a breakout or a rejection. The RSI indicator currently reads 46.55, sitting in neutral territory. It previously flagged overbought and oversold conditions, aligning well with price reversals. Notably, recent overbought signals preceded short-term corrections, reinforcing RSI’s reliability for momentum insight.

Chart 1: Analysed by vallijat007, published on TradingView, April 12, 2025

MACD shows a past “Death Cross,” followed by declining momentum. Although the histogram has narrowed, MACD lines remain below the zero line, suggesting weak bullish momentum or possible continuation of consolidation. Price action appears range-bound with no clear breakout above resistance yet. Traders might look for a breakout confirmation for bullish bias or a rejection at resistance to target support zones. Until then, the range between $79,000 and $84,000 provides trading opportunities. RSI and MACD should be monitored closely for early directional cues.

Bitcoin Whale Power vs. Market Realities

Bitcoin’s whale resurgence signals potential bullish momentum, but sustainability remains uncertain. While large holders’ accumulation hints at confidence, broader market factors, Fed policy, retail participation, and macroeconomic pressures will dictate BTC’s next move. The current consolidation near resistance suggests indecision; a breakout could validate whale optimism, while rejection may trigger retests of lower supports. For now, traders should watch for confirmation beyond whale activity alone. Bitcoin’s trajectory hinges on aligning institutional moves with macroeconomic tailwinds or facing another volatile stall.