Bitcoin Price Analysis: Market Panic Grows, But BTC Stays Resilient

    Let’s discuss how rising recession fears and falling U.S. bond yields are shaping Bitcoin’s price action. Despite market panic, BTC Price remains resilient above $80K — could this signal another breakout ahead?

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    Updated Apr 05, 2025 5:36 PM GMT+0
    Bitcoin Price Analysis: Market Panic Grows, But BTC Stays Resilient

    Bitcoin’s Price has shown great strength, remaining above $80,000 despite weakness in traditional markets. On Friday morning, Bitcoin was valued around $83,230, which is around 9% higher than its March low. It has been an up-and-down week for the markets, but Bitcoin’s resilient performance has been noted. The fact that it is resilient in these uncertain markets implies a lot about where investors are positioning it — not only as a speculative asset but more and more as a safe haven in volatile times.

    Sliding Bond Yields Could Signal a Tailwind for BTC Price

    A key development this week is the reduced U.S. bond yields. The 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4% for the first time in months, while the 2-year and 30-year yields have probably followed suit. Such movement typically signals heightened recession fear, and this is also assuming the fed act and reduces their rates or provide some type of stimulus, then assets such as Bitcoin will probably do very well. We have seen this before: in the COVID crash of 2020 and in 2008 during the financial crisis, risk assets went on a rally up after the Fed added liquidity to the system. If history is any guide, then BTC could be preparing for yet another leg higher.

    Fear Is Rising — and That Might Be a Good Thing for BTC

    Fear is pervasive at the moment. The CNN Fear and Greed Index is at a scary 4, and the crypto version is at 25. However, extreme fear has historically been a good opportunity indicator. The Buffett adage — “be greedy when others are fearful” — comes to mind. With recession fear looming and investor sentiment at extreme lows, Bitcoin’s technical structure remains surprisingly strong. It’s still holding above the 50-week moving average and bouncing off the lower edge of a rising channel that’s been intact since the end of 2022. So, taking all of that into consideration, let’s take a look at the main chart signals and levels that will guide where Bitcoin moves next.

    BTC Price Action Analysis

    The 5-minute chart shows BTC price action moving within a well-defined ascending channel, indicating a short-term bullish structure. However, the price faced strong resistance just below the $85,000 level, triggering a sharp intraday correction. This drop pushed BTC toward the lower boundary of the channel, where it found support near the $82,000 zone, which aligns with a previously tested support area. The RSI confirmed this move with multiple dips into oversold territory during the correction, signaling short-term exhaustion from sellers. After the bounce, the price made another attempt to climb but failed to retest the previous high, indicating weakening upward momentum.

    Chart 1, Analyzed by Alokkp0608, published on April 5th, 2025

    Momentum indicators reinforce the mixed sentiment. The RSI has since stabilized around 41, remaining in neutral territory and hinting at consolidation. Meanwhile, the MACD has shown multiple golden and death crosses, reflecting frequent short-term trend shifts. Notably, the last visible crossover was a death cross, signaling that bearish pressure may still linger. The BTC price is now consolidating between the rising support line and the key resistance zone. This suggests that bulls are still active but cautious, and any fresh move would likely require a clear breakout from this range.

    Conclusion: BTC Holds Ground Amid Uncertainty, Eyes on Breakout

    The BTC Price remains strong above the threshold of $80,000 regardless of the growing concerns of traditional investors and declining bond yields. While equities are in decline, Bitcoin’s performance demonstrates its evolving character as a macroeconomic hedge. 

    Technicals indicate consolidation in a rising channel supported by demand near $82,000 and overhead resistance near the $85,000 level. Indicators are neutral, with RSI stabilizing and MACD indicating indecision in the short term. As long as Bitcoin remains supported in its channel, an upside breakout could be around the corner. Traders should remain vigilant of these levels for volatility as Bitcoin continues to respond to macroeconomic influencers and the larger market.

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