Bitcoin Faces Critical Falling Wedge Breakout Attempt

By

Triparna Baishnab

Triparna Baishnab

Bitcoin tests a key falling wedge breakout near $111,900, with potential to rally toward $127,000 if momentum holds.

Bitcoin Faces Critical Falling Wedge Breakout Attempt

Quick Take

Summary is AI generated, newsroom reviewed.

  • Bitcoin tests a falling wedge breakout around $111,900 resistance.

  • Historical data suggests 64% breakout success rate for this pattern.

  • MACD shows bullish signs; RSI warns of overbought risks.

  • Possible upside targets range from $120,000 to $127,000 if momentum holds.

Last week has been pretty strategic ups and downs for Bitcoin, considering its behavior so far in 2025. Today, it is seen to have formed a wedge. Interestingly, it seems not to have a support price which can either be dangerous or enormously beneficial to investors. Let’s dive in and find out what cases and scenarios can be formed out of it.

Technical Analysis and Charting

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The figure presented by Rover, which was plotted using TradingView, covers the range between June and December 2025 and shows that Bitcoin is at about 110,814 at the time of writing and dropped by 0.77% throughout the day. Since the end of July, the price action has been consolidating in a falling wedge with converging trendlines that constitute the archetypal bullish reversal pattern. The top trend line is around 112,000 to 114,000 and the support is around 105,000 to 108,000. A confirmed breakout of resistance, especially that at the $111,900 mark, may indicate a reversal of the present downward trend into a possible upswing to the 120,000 or more zone.

Market Conditions and Technical Signals.

The price of BTC is hovering around the upper boundary of the wedge. Historical statistics indicate that this kind of a falling wedge pattern result in heavy bullish breakouts. Approximately 64% of the tiimes, this is the very scenerio. Other indicators like MACD, are currently positive which is the sign of a positive momentum. CRSI is however in the overbought territory meaning it can have a short term pullback and breakout.

Long term implications to Bitcoin.

This breakout attempt is also being made volatile by the larger market context. Bitcoin has fallen significantly over the last month, by approximately 15 percent, down to approximately $130,000. The crypto community is divided with some traders anticipating an increase to the predicted 120,000-127,000 level and others fearing fakeouts or a second round of selling. Market forces like regulatory changes and macroeconomic announcements may have a significant role to play in deciding whether this breakout will succeed or not.

Should Bitcoin manage to break and trade above 111,900 with good volume, then it could lead to a short-term bullish run, possibly up to the higher 120,000 range. But, if failure to sustain this momentum, it can elad to re testing of the lower support zones. As crypto market is characterized by rapid unstable fluctuations, everyone has been watching whether it is crucial as this breakout attempt will be the future of bitcoin for the rest of the year in 2025.

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