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Bitcoin Shows Bull Flag Potential, $114.5K FVG Validated by Market Data

By

Triparna Baishnab

Triparna Baishnab

Bitcoin may target $114.5K following a bull flag pattern. Market data, support levels, and historical trends confirm short-term bullish momentum.

Bitcoin Shows Bull Flag Potential, $114.5K FVG Validated by Market Data

Quick Take

Summary is AI generated, newsroom reviewed.

  • BTC shows a bull flag pattern with potential upside to $118,000.

  • $114,500 FVG is a key target and validated by current support/resistance levels.

  • Historical data confirms bull flags succeed 70% of the time with volume confirmation.

  • Downside risk exists if $109,000 support fails.

A chart analysis by A.R.O (@AndreiAro7) of September 27, 2025 indicates Bitcoin (BTC) has a potential bull flag. The analysis recommends the reversal of the chart so as to present a bullish continuation pattern. BTC price today stands at around 109,672, market cap is 2.185 trillion and the number of BTC in circulation is 19.926 million. The bull flag comes after consolidation after declining below 110,000 in September of the year 2025.

This method is a proof of history. According to Tokenmetrics, the bull flag patterns in cryptocurrencies are successful 70 percent of the time with the help of volume and high technical levels. Another such flipped-chart analysis in August 2025 forecasted a ten percent BTC surge between $105,000 and 115,500 which occurred in two weeks.

Key Support and FVG Levels

There are two key directions of BTC that are indicated in the chart. The goal of option one is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 114,500. Coindcx predicts that BTC might hit testing with $114,500 too 115,000 as long as it remains above 109,000. AltFins validates the existence of these levels of psychology as price action magnets of BTC.

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Image Source: Trading View (Crypto Rover)

Option two would be to test to $111,000 and then, possibly, a pullback to $102,000. These two scenarios signal a breakout target of around 118,000, as had been the case in previous bull flag breakouts. These technical levels are confirmed by Barchart which lists BTC pivot points with support of $107,700 and resistance of 117,600.

According to Investtech, bitcoin passed a short-term upward channel on September 9, 2025, and this is an indicator of a short-term bearish force. The flipped bull flag pattern however indicates a reversal. According to Tokenmetrics, breakouts need a minimum 50 percent volume increase than usual during the consolidation phase. In the case of RSI on September 26, 2025, the RSI indicators are near to over sold, which is an indication that there is buying pressure which would be instrumental in triggering the forecasted rally.

The recent 30-day BTC volatility indicates 15 green days (50%) and the 2.25% average price swings. This facilitates a stable foundation of a possible break out. According to Changelly, the 200-day moving average of BTC has been increasing and this has provided technical support to the target of the FVG of 114,500.

Risks and Considerations

The correctness of this bitcoin analysis can be supported by past examples. Historical records of bull flag breakouts with the help of tokenmetrics give returns of 10-20 percent of the breakout level. The scenario of a flipped chart of August 2025 proves the practical applicability of the method.

BTC has a downside risk in case the coin cannot maintain the price at $109,000. A retest of 106,000 will nullify the bull flag scenario. Volume is a key factor to the breakout. The rally to $118,000 might not happen without a jump of at least 50.

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