Analysts See Crypto as Safe-haven For Capital as U.S China Trade Tensions Escalate
As U.S.-China trade tensions flare and the yuan weakens, analysts say investors are turning to Bitcoin as a safe haven
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As geopolitical and economic tensions between the US and China escalate, investors are increasingly looking towards cryptocurrencies, most famously Bitcoin, as a place where wealth can flee from shaky markets. The possibility that the Chinese yuan is going to be devalued in response to further US tariffs has provoked renewed controversy about the place of cryptocurrency during times of financial duress.
Crypto emerges as hedge amid rising tensions
The ongoing economic tensions between China and the United States are shaking the world markets and shaping investor attitudes. According to Mitrade, President Donald Trump declared on Monday that the United States will boost its existing 54% tariff on Chinese products by 50% from Wednesday. China retaliated with a 34% duty on all American imports, which would take effect on Thursday, and vowed to defend its economy against the previous U.S. tariff news.
As gold has conventionally been known to be a safe haven at times of uncertainty, cryptocurrency and Bitcoin in general are now regarded as a fresh method of keeping money safe, especially in those countries with powerful financial restrictions. Some analysts are convinced that rich Chinese investors would increasingly invest in Bitcoin as a means to circumvent limitations and keep their wealth safe from a declining yuan.
China depreciated the yuan by about 2% versus the US dollar in August 2015, the largest one-day decrease in decades. And consequently the interest in Bitcoin increased around that period. Then in August 2019, Bitcoin’s price rose again when the yuan fell below the critical 7:1 level against the dollar, demonstrating a similar pattern during times of currency weakness. According to Cointelegrah, “Some analysts suggested that Chinese investors were using Bitcoin as a hedge as the asset jumped 20% in the first week of that month.”
Blokonomi reports that China relaxed its grip on the yuan, enabling it to drop below a crucial level following new US tariffs. This action has led crypto analysts to look back on a similar development during the last decade, when Bitcoin benefited from Chinese capital fleeing devaluation of currency. BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes thinks the yuan’s devaluation could be the spark that reignites the crypto bull market. On April 8, he said, “If not the Fed, then the PBOC will give us the Yahtzee ingredients,” suggesting China’s actions might trigger the next big Bitcoin rally.
Wealth preservation and capital control evasion
Demand for cryptocurrency is being driven by China’s restrictive rules on money export as well as the weakening of the yuan. Previously, Chinese wealthy residents have used Bitcoin and other decentralized assets to protect their capital and avoid official curbs on overseas transfers. Analysts say increasing distrust in banks and central government policy is pushing more toward decentralized alternatives like cryptocurrency.
Despite the fact that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, they are increasingly being seen as an attractive alternative financial system. Amidst a universe of tariff battles, monetary intervention, and geopolitical risks, Bitcoin is turning from a speculative vehicle into an effective instrument for investors navigating volatile domestic and international situations.
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