5 Key US Economic Events This Week Could Make or Break Bitcoin

Key US economic reports this week, including jobs data and Powell’s speech, could impact Bitcoin’s price as investors assess Fed policy and market trends.
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around key levels as traders keep their eyes on US economics that could dictate future price action. Updates related to employment, interest rates, and consumer credit will impact investor sentiment this week.

Employment Reports and Bitcoin’s Market Reaction

The ADP National Employment Report, scheduled for release on Wednesday, March 5, will provide insight into job growth in the private sector. Predictions indicate that job growth will decrease from 183,000 to 143,000, reflecting careful hiring practices.

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An unexpectedly weak report might also explain speculation about a Federal Reserve rates cut, propelling the yen, and thereby, Bitcoin’s crown as investors move to riskier assets. On the other hand, a strong jobs report could add strength to the US dollar thereby triggering Bitcoin withdrawals.

The Initial Jobless Claims report will look into the employment market situation on Thursday, March 7. The 243,000 claims, the most recent estimate, was just a smidge higher than 242,000 in the week prior. An increased figure can cause concern over an economic slowdown and investors may start to look at Bitcoin as a haven investment.

Unemployment Rate and Interest Rate Speculation

On Friday, March 8, the US Unemployment Rate report is expected to report job growth of 160,000, up from 143,000 in January. Unemployment is expected to increase very marginally from 4.0% to 4.1%.

An increase in unemployment may trigger investors to expect the Federal Reserve to ease up on its stance, which could lend itself to buying Bitcoin. Strong job numbers, on the other side, could prolong the hiking path for interest rates, applying pressure on risk assets.

Powell’s Speech and Market Expectations

Market participants will be listening to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who is scheduled to speak on Friday, for hints on interest rate policy. Powell has displayed caution on rate cuts, saying he doesn’t yet need to reduce borrowing costs.

Raise of the coin could happen if Powell hints at a transition towards softening the monetary stance meaning when the US dollar weakens. However, with this focus on inflation control, Bitcoin will find resistance as investors turn toward traditional assets.

Consumer Credit and Investor Sentiment

On Friday, the Consumer Credit report will offer insight into US borrowing trends. In December, consumer credit surged by $40.85 billion, but analysts predict a smaller increase of $12 billion this time.

If borrowing slows, it could point to economic caution, which may drive some investors toward Bitcoin. However, strong credit growth might indicate higher consumer confidence, reducing Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value.

Bitcoin’s Current Price and Market Outlook

Bitcoin was trading at $92,811 at press time, up 8% since Monday. With multiple economic reports set for release, price swings are expected throughout the week.

Investors are also awaiting the White House Crypto Summit on Friday, where President Donald Trump is expected to discuss his administration’s approach to digital assets. One trader on X shared their strategy:

“Look at the tokens that haven’t been added yet before the summit on Friday. Trump hinted that more might be included, but it’s a speculative play.”

As data comes in, Bitcoin’s direction will likely depend on economic strength and shifting expectations around Federal Reserve policy.